Threat Status Correspondent Jacob Wirtschafter has a fascinating deep dive into one of the key political subplots of Israel’s recent elections: Did foreign actors affect the contest and drive setbacks for Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and his Likud party?
The party said the record turnout that yielded 19 Arab-controlled seats — a net gain of nine — was driven by foreign actors seeking the “Islamization of Israel” and the overthrow of right-wing rule. But the argument faced pushback almost immediately. Police quickly released two suspects accused of bribing voters, while a top judge said the irregularities cited by Likud, even if substantiated, would not be enough to overturn the results.
Here’s why it matters: The 19 Arab-controlled seats in the Knesset are enough, on paper at least, to form a ruling coalition with supporters of either Mr. Netanyahu or top challenger Gadi Eisenkot, an opposition leader whose Yashar bloc is competing to form the next government.
The next government of Israel will face key decisions about whether to resume hostilities against Iran. That, of course, could impact the U.S. and its next military steps in the region.