Pollster Frank Luntz said his peers in the industry will be toast if President Trump pulls another upset victory as he did in 2016.
“The public will have no faith, no confidence,” he told Fox News’ Bret Baier and Martha MacCallum Thursday. “Right now, the biggest issue is a trust deficit. And pollsters did not do a good job in 2016.”
Mr. Luntz, a giant in the field, made the comments prior to the final presidential debate between Mr. Trump and his Democratic opponent Joseph R. Biden.
GOP pollster laments how “my profession is done” if pollsters are wrong about who will win the election. pic.twitter.com/EDDIox4FhQ— TPM Livewire (@TPMLiveWire) October 23, 2020
“With less than two weeks until Election Day, likely voters support former Vice President Joe Biden over President Donald Trump 51–41 percent,” the polling group reported Thursday. “This is the third national survey among likely voters since September that shows Biden with a 10-point lead, as Biden led Trump 52–42 percent on both September 2nd and September 23rd.”
Mr. Luntz said the public’s patience with his profession will hit zero if experts fail on such a grand scale.
“If Donald Trump surprises people, if Joe Biden has a five or six-point lead and then Donald Trump wins, my profession is done. It’s finished because nobody will ever trust. You can make a mistake once, Brett. You cannot make it again,” he told the “Special Report” host.
Quinnipiac surveyed 1,426 likely voters across the country for its poll from Oct. 16-19.
The survey has a margin for error of +/- 2.6 percentage points.
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