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Thursday, January 16, 2020

ANALYSIS/OPINION:

Former Vice President Joe Biden is the leading choice of 48 percent of all black voters seeking to defeat President Trump in the 2000 election.

Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders comes in second at 20 percent among African-American voters, according to a national Washington Post-Ipsos poll.


Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren is a distant third in the election survey, at 9 percent, with all other presidential wannabes trailing in the lower single digits.

“The results, highlighting the views of a group that historically has played a significant role in determining the outcome of the Democratic nominating contest, help to explain the enduring strength of Biden’s candidacy,” The Post reported earlier this week.

“Despite questions about his age, his past positions on forced school busing and his relationships with Southern segregationist senators, the poll showed that 48 percent of black Democrats favor him for the nomination, a 28-point advantage over Sanders.”

Biden is the candidate who can get this country back on track, because we are way out of control,” said Eula Woodberry, a retired school district budget analyst in Dallas, where she still lives. “He’s levelheaded. I think he’s experienced, and I think he will look at the big picture…. He’s the type of person who can serve as the nucleus to bring people back together,” she told The Washington Post.

Edward Phillips, 52, a former legal assistant who lives in New York City, called Mr. Biden a “known face,” adding, “You know he was vice president under [President Barack] Obama. You know his experience. I trust him. I believe him. “I think he’s the only person among the Democrats who can defeat Trump,” he told The Post.

The survey of black voters was conducted “among 1,088 non-Hispanic black adults, including 900 registered voters, drawn from a large online survey recruited through random sampling of U.S. households.”

“Trump performs poorly among black voters when matched against any potential Democratic nominee,” The Post said.

“A majority of Democratic-leaning blacks (57 percent) say the most important thing they are looking for in a Democratic nominee is a likelihood of beating Trump. One-third say they want someone closest to them on issues, and 9 percent say they are looking for the candidate who has the strongest personal character. Biden leads leads on all of those.”

 “On the question of which Democrat has the best chance to defeat Trump in November, Biden is cited by 53 percent of African American Democrats, compared with 18 percent who name Sanders.”

There are many political factors driving the black vote for Mr. Biden, but one especially: Former President Barack Obama chose him as his running mate, and he was critical in helping to put Mr. Obama over the top.

The Post/Ipsos poll of black voters found that one-third of blacks had confidence Mr. Biden would “best handle issues” that were most important to them.

Notably, the survey found that Mr. Biden’s service under the nation’s first black president will give him entree to many black voters.

Fifty-six percent of black Democrats say that makes them much more likely to support him this year for the  2020 nomination.

A stunning 71 percent of black voters said that they were “absolutely certain to vote.”

The Post-Ipsos poll was conducted between Jan. 2-8, 2020, with a margin of sampling error or plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.

Could this be the year when the deciding factor in the 2000 presidential election race is decided in key electoral states by black voters?

If enough of them turn out in a close race, it could be.

• Donald Lambro is a syndicated columnist and contributor to The Washington Times.


Copyright © 2020 The Washington Times, LLC.