Just about every objective indicator foreshadows a huge re-election defeat for President Obama. With every day that passes, Mr. Obama looks more like a loser.
That’s because there is doom and gloom everywhere you look. When government mathematical fudging is stripped away, unemployment is stuck over 10 percent. Economic growth is practically nonexistent and promises to slide downhill even more in the coming months with Europe and its banks rapidly collapsing. Due to Mr. Obama’s out-of-control deficit spending, the national debt is at a heart-stopping $15.7 trillion, which erases a whole year of economic output by our entire country. With the Supreme Court poised to strike down Obamacare, his only signature legislative achievement, the president will have nothing to show for four years in office other than record misery.
Polls give a glimpse of the shellacking to come in November. Recent surveys have pegged Republican candidate Mitt’s Romney’s lead over Mr. Obama as high as 7 percent, with the elephant’s advantage among crucial independents as high as 10 points. Perhaps most ominous of all for the incumbent is Mr. Romney’s new lead among women. This support is not as shocking as it first sounds. The tired narrative about women voting in mass for Democrats who support abortion is only partially true and unfairly lumps all women together. In fact, the GOP traditionally does well with married women and those who go to church regularly, which is a big chunk of that demographic group. When the voting bloc is diced up by sex, Democrats basically only win minorities and those clinging to issues such as abortion and hopes for federally subsidized birth control. Aside from liberal extremists, most women vote on the economy and bread-and-butter issues, which is why Mr. Romney now leads among all women by 2 points.
According to Rasmussen Reports, Republicans are up by 7 points in generic congressional balloting, which means “45 percent of likely U.S. voters would vote for the Republican in their district’s congressional race if the election were held today, while 38 percent would choose the Democrat instead.” This dynamic promises big gains for Republicans on Capitol Hill who aim to build on their huge 2010 wins. In the midterm two years ago, the GOP picked up six Senate seats and 63 seats and the majority in the House of Representatives.
Mr. Obama’s reaction to his plummeting prospects is to claim there’s a media conspiracy against him. This week, his deputy campaign manager Stephanie Cutter complained “the methodology was significantly biased” in a CBS/New York Times poll that reported 67 percent of Americans believe Mr. Obama’s support for homosexual “marriage” is for political advantage and not because it’s the right thing to do. That’s right, the Obama campaign claims the very liberal New York Times is skewing data to hurt the president. The truth is, kneejerk media backing is Barack’s strongest campaign weapon, but at this point, even that probably can’t save him.
Brett M. Decker is editorial page editor of The Washington Times. He is coauthor of the new book “Bowing to Beijing” (Regnery, 2011).